In this heated election cycle, there
has been an above average scrutiny of the polls, their sampling, and
the methodology. Just a though here, but could it be due to the
hurricane and the certain polls going on hiatus for those few days,
could we find that a rapid or radical swing at the favor of Mr.
Romney as the polling desperately tries to be as accurate as the
actual election as possible? It accrues to me that as the sample size
is adjusted to support the actual turnout this year.
Normally I wouldn't bother with such a
mental exorcise however, strange events cause to speculate on such a
possibilities. First, the amount of commercials being bought by both
the Romney and Obama camps in Pennsylvania, Ohio, Oregon, Wisconsin,
Michigan and Iowa tells me that the “internal” polling is much
closer than has been reported by anyone. Pennsylvania alone was
supposed to be a lock for the President as little as two months ago.
The same was said for Oregon, Wisconsin and Michigan. Indeed
Wisconsin a year ago was supposed to be a big democrat win with the
recall election of Scott Walker. The final tally, with more than 100%
of the electorate of Madison voting had the Governor winning by a
rather large margin despite the polls the week before showing a
democrat win by 10 points.
Using the methodology of the 2008
elections is a dangerous proposition at best. The pollsters are
dismissing entirely the 2010 elections and referendum on Obamacare.
There is an ground swell of opposition to an ever intrusive
government which has grown to epic proportions in the last two years.
Combine that with a depressed radical left base and an overly excited
center right country which is primed to vote. In fact I voted early.
My election official told me he that they were expecting an 85%-90%
voter turnout. Something that has not been seen in anyone's lifetime.
My personal conclusion is that there
Mitt Romney will not only win, but win big with 360 plus electoral
vote, and somewhere in the neighborhood of 63% of the popular vote.
While only anecdotal everyone I have any contact with, be it
Facebook, or in life, cannot wait to pull the trigger to vote one
person or another. Imagine if all counties across this country had
that same 85%-90% election turnout. It would be a day that hadn't
been seen in over a century and a half.
To quote Dennis Miller, “That's the
news and I am outta here.”
